The crypto revolution of the early 2000s was a watershed moment for the digital asset industry. From the early days of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin, to the explosion of altcoins in the mid-2010s, the crypto landscape has changed drastically.
But the question still remains: Is the current market cycle the bottom of a bear market or the beginning of a new bull market?
The answer to this question is far from clear, but one thing is certain: BTC’s uncanny resemblance to the last two market cycles raises the possibility that the bottom could be in.
When looking at the historical data of BTC’s market cycles, it’s clear that the current cycle looks very similar to the last two. In both cases, BTC experienced a sharp downward trend followed by a lengthy period of sideways trading.
Furthermore, the current cycle has been characterized by a slow but steady rise in the number of addresses holding BTC. This suggests that investors are slowly accumulating BTC, which could be a sign of a bottom in the market.
However, full confirmation of the bottom is dependent on on-chain data. If the number of addresses holding BTC continues to rise, then it’s likely that the bottom is in. Conversely, if the number of addresses holding BTC begins to decline, then it’s likely that the market is still in a bear market.
In addition to on-chain data, there are a few other factors that can help determine if the market is in a bull or bear market. For example, the amount of institutional money flowing into the market can be an indicator of the market’s direction. If institutional investors are buying up large amounts of BTC, then it’s likely that the market is in a bull market.
Finally, the sentiment of the market can also be an indicator of the market’s direction. If the sentiment is generally positive, then it’s likely that the market is in a bull market. On the other hand, if the sentiment is generally negative, then it’s likely that the market is in a bear market.
At the end of the day, the only way to know for sure if the bottom is in is to wait and see what the on-chain data tells us. Until then, we can only speculate about the future of the crypto market.